Numerical estimation: How many windshield wiper blades are sold in Salt Lake City each year?

Contents

• Introduction Introduction

  • Welcome

    1m 44s
• 1. The Power of Ratios and Percentages 1. The Power of Ratios and Percentages

  • How to compare Olympic medals won in Rio

    3m 22s
  • Growth rates, the Rule of 72, and the danger of extrapolation

    7m 10s
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    Financial ratios and determining the unpaid inventory of Walmart

    5m 37s
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    Convert to percentages: Least common denominator, stock prices, and common-size financial statements

    5m 21s
  • (Locked)
    Converting numbers: Mars, miles, dollars, and Usain Bolt

    6m 39s
• 2. Applied Probability and Statistics 2. Applied Probability and Statistics

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    Low-probability events: Fear of flying, black swans, and extinction of the dinosaurs

    4m 57s
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    Famous averages: Dow Jones and consumer prices

    6m 29s
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    Income distribution: The difference between mean and median

    4m 34s
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    Probabilities: Life insurance and the weather

    5m 53s
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    Conditional probabilities and counting cards

    7m 20s
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    Variance and the concept of risk

    6m 15s
• 3. Numerical Planning and Measurement 3. Numerical Planning and Measurement

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    Numerical planning and everyday decisions

    4m 42s
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    Create, monitor, and evaluate your budget

    4m 29s
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    How many KPIs should an organization have?

    6m 21s
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    How the market responds so fast to an earnings announcement

    3m 42s
  • (Locked)
    Forecast the timing and amount of a business loan

    6m 1s
• 4. Interest: Paying and Earning 4. Interest: Paying and Earning

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    Time value of candy (and money)

    2m 15s
  • The power of compound interest

    5m 28s
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    Loan payments and interest rates

    5m 48s
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    Start saving early for retirement

    6m 2s
• 5. The Art of Numerical Estimation 5. The Art of Numerical Estimation

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    Numerical estimation: How many windshield wiper blades are sold in Salt Lake City each year?

    4m
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    Calibrate uncertainty: What is the wingspan of a 747?

    5m 22s
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    Identifying key variables: What is the value of your neighbor's house?

    6m 9s
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    What would it cost to construct a custom-made oak table?

    5m 34s
• Conclusion Conclusion

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    Quick understandings that come from numbers

    3m 11s