- So why are people so bad at making predictions?…Daniel Gardner's book Future Babble…may have some of the answers.…One important takeaway to keep in mind.…People like to think that they have actual control…of the future, or that they know when things are due.…For example, when they gamble, they like to roll dice…harder for higher numbers, softer for lower.…This ridiculous phenomenon is called…the Illusion of Control, as if somehow they could influence…the future by the strength of their throw.…
You see this in sports all the time.…Take a look at Andrew here.…He is quite the superstitious man.…Some people don't wash their socks between games…or always put the left shoe on before the right.…Andrew wears his rally hat.…I wipe my right hand twice on my back right pocket…before throwing a bowling ball, every single time.…And people do these things, it gives them faith,…it makes them believe, but that doesn't mean…that it's logical, or that it makes any rational sense.…And it's certainly not an indicator…of how the future is going to pan out.…
Skill Level Intermediate
Data Visualization: A Lesson and Listen Serieswith Bill Shander3h 2m Intermediate
Everyday Statistics, with Eddie Davilawith Eddie Davila2h 34m Intermediate
Data in our lives1m 50s
Episode One: Predictions
Episode Two: Discrimination
Episode Three: Ethical Considerations
4. Episode Four: The little chips that control you
Episode Five: The Quantified Self
Episode Six: The fork in the road
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