Barring a major world conflict or an aggressive Federal Reserve, when can the housing market be expected to peak and ultimately crash again?
- Perhaps the most surprising aspect…about real estate cycles…is not that every stage is inevitable…but that it's actually highly predictable.…An economist named Homer Hoyt, through a detailed study…of Chicago and broader U.S. real estate markets,…found that the real estate cycle tends to run…in a steady, 18 year rhythm since the 1800s.…Now, there has only been two exceptions to this rule.…World War II and a mid-cycle peak…that was created by the federal reserve…doubling interest rates in 1979.…
Yes, if the feds double interest rates,…it will effectively crush any expansion…in a real estate boom cycle.…Now, outside of that…the cycle has been remarkably consistent.…In fact, it's kind of hard to believe.…Take a look.…All right, so here what we're looking at…are historical land values, peaks in land value.…Which is really good gauge for the peaks…of the overall housing market and real estate market.…
So these are just land values,…and here is peak and construction cycles,…that's when the years…that had the most construction going on.…
Note: This course uses data and example properties from the United States, but the concepts taught and tools provided are just as useful for any market.
- Determining if real estate investment is right for you
- Choosing a market and a property
- Using financing
- Strategies for first-time investors
- Real estate market cycles
- Valuing a property
- Analyzing your market
- How leverage impacts investments
- Real estate investment case studies
Skill Level Appropriate for all
Excel: Analyzing and Visualizing Cash Flowswith Curt Frye1h 16m Intermediate
Learning Real Estate Photographywith Scott Hargis3h 21m Beginner
Managing Your Personal Investmentswith Jane Barratt1h 31m Appropriate for all
Start here3m 29s
1. Case Study: Joe's First Investment
2. The Many Ways to Invest in Real Estate
3. Real Estate Market Cycles
4. How to Value a Property
5. Understanding Your Market
6. What Makes a Good Investment?
7. Understanding Leverage
8. Case Study: Rental Income Property Analysis
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