From the course: Economic Tips for Everyone
Unlock the full course today
Join today to access over 22,600 courses taught by industry experts or purchase this course individually.
SAAR
- Some economic data aren't just adjusted for seasons, but they're also annualized as something called a SAAR, which stands for a Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate. Let me give you an example. In December, 2019, 1.5 million light vehicles, like cars and pickup trucks, were sold in the United States. But even the 1.5 million was the number of vehicles sold, the number quoted everywhere in the press was 16.8 million vehicles, that's the SAAR. It's more than just annualizing the data because 1.5 million vehicles for a month times 12 months equals 18 million vehicles, which is not 16.8 million. The 16.8 includes seasonal adjustments and is annualized. Sometimes people confuse the actual number and the SAAR, and I've seen very senior economists and business leaders make this kind of mistake. It can be quite embarrassing, as you can imagine, if I said that in December, 2019, 16.8 million vehicles were sold, that would imply 200…
Practice while you learn with exercise files
Download the files the instructor uses to teach the course. Follow along and learn by watching, listening and practicing.
Contents
-
-
-
-
(Locked)
The economic importance of consistency with currency data1m 5s
-
(Locked)
Percentages and levels in economic data1m 19s
-
(Locked)
Adjusted data1m 9s
-
(Locked)
SAAR1m 29s
-
(Locked)
Time and collection differences in economic data1m 6s
-
(Locked)
Creating good economic data59s
-
(Locked)
Being too certain in your forecasts1m 8s
-
(Locked)
Choosing the right data analysis program54s
-
(Locked)
-
-
-
-
-