From the course: Making Better Decisions by Thinking in Bets
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Aim for accuracy instead of being right
From the course: Making Better Decisions by Thinking in Bets
Aim for accuracy instead of being right
- [Female Voice] So normally we sort of want to be team players and we want to build consensus and we want to be agreeable, right? We want to be people who aren't the naysayers. And obviously when we do that, that creates this kind of, that's much more likely to create this kind of echo chamber-y groupthink kind of thing going on. So here's what I suggest is as an agreement within the group you agree to three things. Thing number one is that your goal is going to be accuracy. Now, what does that mean? That you are saying as a group we're going to help each other to work on the focus being less about being right and more about being accurate. What's the difference between the two 'cause they sound obviously the same? We could think about being right as I have these beliefs, I think that the world is a certain way, and I'm going to reason about the world in a way that's just going to confirm what I already believe. So you can…
Contents
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Distinguish between decision quality and outcome3m 17s
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Refrain from resulting2m 57s
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Don’t label decisions as right or wrong3m 16s
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Adjust your beliefs to improve your decisions2m 3s
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View each decision as a working hypothesis2m 12s
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Seek to disagree in group decision-making2m 19s
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Aim for accuracy instead of being right3m 31s
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Encourage dissent2m 41s
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Hold your intuition accountable3m 34s
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Face the fear of uncertainty2m 55s
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